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Econometric Determinants of External Demand for Egyptian Mango Exports to Gulf Cooperation Council GCC Markets
This study examines the key economic determinants influencing the external demand for Egyptian mango exports to Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries from 2008 to 2024. Emphasizing the strategic significance of GCC markets for Egypt’s agricultural exports and foreign exchange earnings, the research addresses the underperformance of Egyptian mango exports despite the country’s comparative advantage in production and quality. Challenges such as price volatility and strong competition from India and Pakistan are analyzed through an econometric demand model incorporating variables like income, price, and exchange rates, alongside assessments of Egypt’s price competitiveness. Findings reveal substantial growth in cultivated area and total production, albeit with volatile yield per feddan. Mango exports grew at an average annual rate of 19%, with GCC nations accounting for 61% of export volume and 59% of export value, predominantly directed to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait. Econometric results identify domestic production, population size, income levels, and competitor pricing as principal drivers of external demand, with Egyptian mangoes sustaining a competitive price advantage in global markets.
Keywords: Mango Exports, External Demand, GCC Markets, Price Competitiveness, Econometric Analysis.
